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    | SHORTCOMINGS OF WORLD TRADE GOVERNANCE: Contributions for the debates prior to the Buenos Aires WTO Ministerial 
      Conference
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    | by Félix PeñaJanuary 2017
 
 English translation: Isabel Romero Carranza
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    |    | In addition to the results achieved in the ongoing 
        negotiations in Geneva under the Trade Negotiations Committee, the WTO's 
        11th Ministerial Conference, to be held in Buenos Aires from 11 to 14 
        December, provides an opportunity for prior discussions on some of the 
        most significant shortcomings of the global trading system. 
       In this sense, providing constructive ideas for the future of the 
        international trading system, both at the global level and in the multiple 
        regional and interregional spaces, can prove a valuable contribution during 
        the preparatory period of the Conference.  Argentina as the host country of the WTO ministerial meeting, together 
        with Latin American countries with a strong role in the development of 
        the GATT-WTO system, can play an important role in promoting such discussions. At least three issues deserve special attention in these recommended 
        debates that should precede the Buenos Aires Ministerial Conference.  The first is how to make the benefits of global and regional international 
        trade reach broader sectors of the populations of the WTO member countries, 
        especially for their positive effects on job creation and social wellbeing. 
         The second issue relates to the necessary balance and convergence 
        between global rules and institutions and those resulting from the multiple 
        modalities of regional and interregional preferential agreements.  The third question is how to generate rules that facilitate and promote 
        the projection to the world of SMEs, especially those of developing countries.
 Later, in 2018, following the WTO's 11th Ministerial Conference, the G20 
        Summit will provide another opportunity for Argentina and the region to 
        show their capacity to encourage debates on viable initiatives aimed at 
        facilitating the coordination of a global order that promotes peace and 
        development.
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    |  All indicates that when the WTO's 11th Ministerial Conference takes 
        place in Buenos Aires between 11 and 14 December an environment of confusion 
        and uncertainty will continue to prevail in the world, both politically 
        and economically (on WTO conferences refer to https://www.wto.org/). 
        It is even possible that this situation has accentuated. This will also 
        affect the perception of the future of international trade governance 
        and, in particular, its rules and institutions.  Thus, the idea of the exhaustion of the global order that has prevailed 
        for the last seven decades will probably be reinforced. This order reflected 
        the distribution of power among nations resulting from the end of World 
        War II and subsequently of the Cold War. It also reflected the effects 
        of decolonization and globalization, as well as the gradual emergence 
        of new relevant players in the global competition for resources and markets 
        and, especially, spaces of power.  Such order had moments of unipolarity, others of bipolarity, and even 
        of "oligarchic condominium". It was then easier to identify 
        the country or countries that had sufficient relative power to perceive 
        themselves -and, above all, to be perceived- as "rule makers" 
        in the international system. However, in recent years it has become increasingly 
        difficult to identify which countries have sufficient power to agree on 
        rules that ensure at least a relative world order. Perhaps this is one 
        of the causes that can explain, largely, the atmosphere of confusion and 
        uncertainty that prevails in the world today.  Hence, in addition to the results achieved in the negotiations already 
        initiated in Geneva under the WTO's Trade Negotiations Committee (TNC) 
        with regard to the agenda of the Ministerial Conference and specific agreements 
        that may be reached -(on the role of the TNC see https://www.wto.org/)- 
        the Buenos Aires meeting will provide an opportunity for prior discussions 
        on some of the most significant shortcomings of the world trading system. 
       If these discussions are broad in scope, involving a significant number 
        of countries and actors in international trade relations, they can contribute 
        to generate ideas that help strengthen the effectiveness, efficiency and, 
        above all, the social legitimacy of what is finally agreed in December 
        in Buenos Aires. In this sense, bringing forward constructive ideas for 
        the future of the international trading system, both at the global level 
        and in relation to the many regional and interregional agreements, would 
        prove a valuable contribution in the preparatory period of the Conference. 
        Argentina as the host country of the WTO ministerial meeting, together 
        with the Latin American countries that have played a major role in the 
        development of the GATT-WTO system (such as Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Costa 
        Rica, Cuba, Mexico, Peru and Uruguay, among others), can play an important 
        role in the development of such debates. Today, these countries have the 
        possibility of developing future mutual-gain trade relations with a very 
        large number of countries in all regions of the world, if not with all 
        of them.  This poses a great challenge for the participants of the debates that 
        are held, who should be very different in their perspectives and interests 
        and should come from the political and governmental sphere as well as 
        from the entrepreneurial, social, academic, and action-oriented spaces 
        of thought.   Without overlooking others, at least three issues deserve special attention 
        in the discussions that should precede the next WTO Ministerial Conference. The first concerns how to make the benefits of international trade reach 
        broad sectors of the populations of the WTO member countries, in particular 
        because of their positive effects on the generation of sustainable jobs 
        and social wellbeing. This includes ways of involving all social sectors 
        in the decision-making process, both at the level of each country and 
        of the different international institutions and, in particular, ensuring 
        greater transparency in the different negotiating processes. For example, 
        the fact that negotiating offers are not disclosed in time or that their 
        real scope and the "small print" are only revealed when the 
        negotiations are at an advanced stage -as is the case in some ongoing 
        negotiations, such as those between Mercosur and the EU-, or have already 
        been concluded -as happened in the negotiations of the TPP-, are practices 
        that today can be considered obsolete. In any case, they contribute to 
        the skepticism and even the bad mood of citizens regarding such negotiations, 
        something that can be observed today in many countries.  In this sense, how to achieve a "WTO of the people" should 
        a priority objective, almost the main purpose of the Ministerial Conference 
        of Buenos Aires. It would imply taking concrete steps to eliminate the 
        "transparency deficits", one of the reasons that can help explain 
        "the anger of societies," as Enrique V. Iglesias emphasized 
        in his speech at the last CAF Conference and the Inter-American Dialogue 
        held in Washington on September 7 and 8, 2016. (On the Conference, see 
        http://www.thedialogue.org/event/caf20/ 
        and the video with Iglesias' intervention on https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z5onbLInBvs). 
        Another aim would be to counteract the growing tendency to perceive globalization 
        and some of the free trade agreements as understandings for the mutual 
        benefit of the elites involved in each country, as noted by Larry Summers 
        (see his article "Global 
        trade should be remade from the bottom up" in the Financial Times 
        of April 4, 2016, https://www.ft.com/). 
       The second issue relates to how to achieve the necessary balance and 
        convergence between global rules and institutions -such as those of the 
        GATT-WTO- and those resulting from the multiple modalities of regional 
        and interregional preferential agreements -such as, for example, the Mercosur, 
        the Pacific Alliance, the EU and the ASEAN, among many others, and the 
        TPP and the possible interregional agreement between the Mercosur and 
        the EU. Otherwise, the current trends towards the fragmentation of the 
        international trading system, with the ensuing impact on the effectiveness 
        of the world order, will be difficult to avoid. In this sense, one of 
        the main themes to be addressed in the discussions should be how to achieve 
        a balance between the requirements of flexibility of the rules and institutions 
        operating in dynamic and complex contexts with those of predictability 
        necessary for the adoption of decisions for productive investment that 
        generate sustainable trade and employment.  The third question is how to create policies and rules that facilitate 
        the projection of SMEs to the world, especially those from developing 
        countries. The image of a WTO perceived as only benefiting large firms 
        from the more developed countries does not help with the necessary social 
        support for the world trading system. On the contrary, what is needed 
        is a WTO that is perceived as the place for promoting rules and institutions 
        that facilitate and encourage the growing internationalization of SMEs, 
        for example, through their insertion in transnational productive chains 
        that include SMEs from other countries.  In this perspective, it would be possible to discuss how to achieve a 
        growing interaction between the WTO and institutions such as the International 
        Trade Center, the FAO, the ILO and the UNCTAD, global and regional development 
        financing institutions, and those of the corresponding integration processes. 
        Such coordination could favor the promotion of different modalities of 
        sectoral agreements to encourage and facilitate the development of productive 
        networks among SMEs in different countries.  In 2018, after the WTO Conference, the G20 Summit will provide another 
        opportunity for Argentina and the region to demonstrate their ability 
        to stimulate debates on viable initiatives aimed at facilitating the conciliation 
        of a global order in which peace and development prevail. These two events 
        will require a joint contribution of the public, academic and social sectors 
        (especially businesses and trade unions). Perhaps achieving such a coordinated 
        contribution could be the main social result with political scope that 
        both events would produce in our country and in our region. |  
   
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    | Félix Peña Director 
        of the Institute of International Trade at the ICBC Foundation. Director 
        of the Masters Degree in International Trade Relations at Tres de Febrero 
        National University (UNTREF). Member of the Executive Committee of the 
        Argentine Council for International Relations (CARI). Member of the Evian 
        Group Brains Trust. More 
        information. |  
 
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